Post by Roland Perry Post by Someone Somewhere
Presumably the odds to > 1 woman wanting to go basically the same way
are lower than > 1 person wanting to do the same and hence the costs
are somewhat higher.
From what I remember Uber reduces the price by 25% if you accept
sharing, so on that basis it reckons that on average they have a 50%
chance of matching you with another rider, if you remove all males
and mixed-sex couples from that equation, presumably it falls to <25%
and hence the discount (as you wouldn't be able to discriminate on
price) would be more like 10% - not worth the difference.
The calculation isn't as simple as that, because you have to bear in
mind that sources and sinks of Uber trips will often be pre-disposed to
have a skewed demographic.
A friend went to a West End play the other week, and noted that the
audience was almost entirely women, so Ubers picking up after the final
curtain would have much less trouble pairing up females.
Yes - but I said on average - there are events where such demographic
skews can occur, but on average they don't and given the nature of Uber
they only have a handful of minutes to match together riders so they
can't take advantage of doing it on a wider basis in advance knowing
that there is a tolerance of 15 minutes or whatever to pick people up
after a show.
Post by Roland Perry
And all this ignores the fact that if there's a demand for 30 potential
rideshares along a particular corridor, 20 men and 10 women, someone
like Uber should easily be able to consolidate that into 10 male-only
cabs and 5 female-only.
But it isn't a corridor - it's more of a star topology with widish arms
(denoting the tolerance between different riders destinations). So
there is only currently a small possibility that 2 (or more) riders want
to go the same way, and that possibility gets smaller once you start
introducing selection criteria, to the point where they can't offer a
meaningful discount to make it attractive.
My own experience with UberPool (out of probably 30 journeys) is that
you roughly 50% of the time end up sharing a car with people (and
probably 50% of those are people I wouldn't want to share a car with
again - I had one who couldn't find the car for 10 minutes and then as
soon as they got in demanded the driver find a toilet for them...)
Of course, with a full pre-booking system (as opposed to a just in time
system) you can far better optimise it and maybe reduce the odds of
matching people, but that's not how UberPool works (and having to
pre-book a car some time in advance would diminish the attractiveness of
the service to some people).